Until 1990 or so, the dominant conjecture was that the Julia set of a complex rational mapping f has measure zero if it is not the whole Riemann sphere. Then attempts were made to construct a counter-example with f a polynomial. Recently A. Cheritat has reduced the proof that there is a polynomial of the form e2πiθ z + z2 with K(f) having empty interior but positive measure to renormalization conjectures which seem more accessible. The idea is to obtain θ by alternately approximating rational values by diophantine ones (with bounded type), and diophantine ones by rational ones, so as to lose a small amount of measure for K(f) in the process.
Adrien Douady